South Africa targets grey-list exit by 2025 assessment, de-risking counterparties

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Vancouver, Canada — South Africa has intensified its efforts to exit the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) grey list by the 2025 assessment cycle, implementing a combination of legislative reforms, enforcement upgrades, and sector-specific de-risking strategies to reassure global counterparties. The government, working in tandem with regulators and financial industry leaders, aims to close identified gaps in its anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorist financing (CTF) regime while restoring investor confidence and reducing the transaction frictions caused by the grey-list designation.

South Africa was placed on the FATF grey list in February 2023, a status that indicates strategic deficiencies in its AML/CTF framework. Although the designation is not a sanctions list, it significantly impacts cross-border financial relationships, as correspondent banks and global payment providers often tighten due diligence requirements and reassess their exposure to grey-listed jurisdictions.

Legislative Reforms and Institutional Strengthening

Since the listing, South Africa has introduced a suite of legislative amendments, including the General Laws (Anti-Money Laundering and Combating Terrorism Financing) Amendment Act, which expanded the scope of accountable institutions, tightened beneficial ownership disclosure requirements, and improved supervisory oversight. Additional bills are in progress to enhance the Financial Intelligence Centre’s (FIC) authority, increase penalties for non-compliance, and improve information sharing between agencies.

The judiciary has also taken a more active role, with specialized courts being briefed on the complex nature of AML/CTF prosecutions. The National Prosecuting Authority has been tasked with prioritizing high-impact financial crime cases that can demonstrate effective enforcement to FATF evaluators.

South Africa’s banking regulator, the Prudential Authority, has issued new guidelines requiring financial institutions to adopt risk-based approaches that integrate FATF’s Immediate Outcomes framework into daily operations. This includes assessing the effectiveness of controls, not merely their formal existence.

The 2025 FATF Assessment Timeline

South Africa’s following FATF assessment is scheduled to take place during the first half of 2025, with preparatory engagements already underway. The evaluation will consider both technical compliance and the legal and regulatory framework in place, as well as their effectiveness, meaning whether measures are producing tangible results in detecting, prosecuting, and deterring financial crime.

To exit the grey list, South Africa must demonstrate measurable progress across FATF’s 11 Immediate Outcomes, particularly in areas flagged as deficient during its 2023 mutual evaluation. These include improving the transparency of beneficial ownership registers, enhancing customer due diligence practices in the non-financial sector, and strengthening cross-border cooperation.

The FATF’s assessment will be informed by case studies, enforcement statistics, and feedback from private sector stakeholders, including foreign correspondent banks and multinational corporations operating in South Africa.

Counterparty De-Risking Trends

Grey-listing often triggers counterparties in other jurisdictions to reassess their relationships with entities in the listed country. This can lead to “de-risking,” where financial institutions limit or terminate relationships to avoid perceived compliance burdens. While this may reduce exposure to regulatory penalties, it can also hinder legitimate trade and investment flows.

Since 2023, several European and Asian banks have tightened their onboarding criteria for South African clients, especially in sectors flagged as higher-risk by FATF, such as mining, precious metals trading, and cross-border remittances. Some have imposed transaction caps, extended settlement timelines, or required additional layers of documentation, including independent verification of the source of funds.

Domestic banks have responded by adopting stricter screening processes for inbound counterparties, ensuring that their exposure to higher-risk entities is minimized. This has led to a ripple effect in the local economy, where businesses that rely on global suppliers or investors face higher costs and delays.

Restoring Confidence in Payment Channels

One of South Africa’s key objectives in its grey-list exit plan is to normalize cross-border payment channels by assuring global counterparties that transactions originating in the country meet international compliance expectations. This requires both systemic improvements and targeted relationship management with major correspondent banks.

The South African Reserve Bank has initiated direct engagement with foreign regulators and financial institutions, sharing progress reports on AML/CTF reforms and inviting feedback on risk management practices. This transparency is intended to counteract blanket de-risking measures and maintain correspondent lines essential for trade finance, securities settlement, and remittance services.

In parallel, the Financial Sector Conduct Authority has emphasized the role of technology in compliance monitoring. Financial institutions are being encouraged to adopt advanced analytics, AI-powered transaction monitoring, and integrated KYC (Know Your Customer) platforms that allow for real-time screening against global watchlists.

Beneficial Ownership Transparency

A central criticism in FATF’s earlier assessment was South Africa’s limited ability to obtain accurate and up-to-date information on beneficial ownership of companies and trusts. In response, the Companies and Intellectual Property Commission has launched a national beneficial ownership register, requiring legal entities to file detailed ownership structures, including the natural persons who ultimately control them.

Failure to comply can result in administrative fines, deregistration, and, in severe cases, criminal prosecution. The register is designed to be accessible to law enforcement agencies and financial institutions conducting due diligence, reducing the opacity that enables money laundering and terrorist financing schemes.

The Role of Non-Financial Sectors

Beyond banks and insurers, FATF’s recommendations apply to designated non-financial businesses and professions (DNFBPs), including real estate agents, attorneys, accountants, and dealers in high-value goods. South Africa’s grey-list remediation plan has prioritized training and supervision in these sectors, which have historically been less regulated but are often exploited for illicit financial flows.

The Law Society of South Africa, in collaboration with the FIC, has launched mandatory AML/CTF compliance programs for legal practitioners. At the same time, real estate agencies must now conduct enhanced due diligence on high-value property transactions. Jewelers and luxury goods dealers face similar obligations when handling cash transactions above specified thresholds.

International Perception and Investment Climate

Grey-listing has tangible consequences for foreign direct investment (FDI) flows. Investors may perceive increased compliance costs or heightened reputational risks in dealing with entities from a grey-listed jurisdiction. South Africa’s National Treasury has made clear that improving its FATF standing is not only a regulatory priority but also an economic imperative.

By demonstrating compliance improvements and effective enforcement, South Africa hopes to send a clear signal to global markets that it is a trustworthy partner. This could restore investor confidence, reduce the cost of capital, and strengthen the country’s position in trade negotiations.

Case Study: De-Risking in the Mining Supply Chain

In 2024, a mid-tier gold mining company based in Gauteng faced abrupt disruptions in its supply chain when its primary European refining partner introduced new compliance measures in response to South Africa’s grey-list status. The refiner required notarized proof of beneficial ownership, independent third-party audits of supply chain integrity, and detailed origin documentation for all gold shipments.

While the mining company complied with the requests, the process extended payment cycles from 10 days to over 30 days, straining cash flow. Recognizing the operational risk, the company engaged Amicus International Consulting to conduct a complete compliance overhaul. This included implementing a blockchain-based supply chain verification system, upgrading transaction monitoring software, and establishing a compliance liaison office to manage ongoing documentation requests.

Within six months, the company regained preferred partner status with the refiner and secured two new international buyers. The proactive approach not only resolved immediate de-risking concerns but also positioned the company to meet enhanced compliance expectations well beyond the grey-list exit date.

Strategic Recommendations from Amicus International Consulting

Amicus International Consulting advises clients with exposure to South Africa to take the following steps in anticipation of the 2025 FATF assessment:

  • Conduct a Counterparty Audit: Review all business relationships to identify exposure to South African entities, particularly in higher-risk sectors, and assess the adequacy of their compliance frameworks.

  • Enhance Documentation Protocols: Prepare to provide beneficial ownership, source-of-funds, and source-of-wealth documentation at a higher standard than previously required.

  • Adopt Advanced Monitoring Tools: Integrate real-time screening and transaction monitoring platforms that can adapt to changing jurisdictional risk profiles.

  • Engage in Direct Dialogue: Where possible, maintain open communication with South African partners to understand their remediation progress and share compliance best practices.

  • Scenario Planning: Anticipate both successful and delayed grey-list exit scenarios, with contingency plans for each.

South Africa’s push to exit the grey list by 2025 represents a high-stakes test of political will, regulatory capacity, and private sector alignment. While challenges remain, the coordinated approach between government agencies, financial institutions, and industry stakeholders offers a realistic path toward restoring the country’s standing in the global economic system.

Contact Information
Phone: +1 (604) 200-5402
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.amicusint.ca

Anton Stravinsky

Anton Stravinsky

Anton Stravinsky is an associate correspondent for Tri-City News, BC. CanadaStravinsky focuses on international finance, banking, and asset management trends across Europe and Asia for Markets.Before his current role, Stravinsky completed Bloomberg's journalism fellowship, contributing stories to Bloomberg's digital and broadcast platforms. He originally joined Bloomberg as a summer intern covering financial markets and global economies in 2017.Stravinsky’s prior experience includes internships with Reuters' business desk in London, CNBC's Squawk Box Europe, and The Financial Times' editorial team.He earned a bachelor's degree in economics and journalism from New York University, where he served as senior editor for the university’s independent news outlet, Washington Square News.