Everyone’s Calling Twilio an AI Story. It’s a Value Creation Story.

Value creation visualization showing a financial-district skyline with upward light trails at dawn

The cleanest value creation case study of 2026 isn’t in a textbook, it’s in Twilio’s earnings. Bank of America just added Twilio to a five-stock basket it expects to outrun the market as companies pour money into AI infrastructure. The headline wrote itself: another company riding the AI wave, and most people will read it exactly that way.

We read it differently.

The AI tailwind is real, but it’s not what saved Twilio. What saved Twilio was three unglamorous years of disciplined work, the kind that doesn’t trend, doesn’t make a keynote, and doesn’t show up until the numbers turn. By the time the AI story arrived, Twilio was the rare company actually positioned to catch it.

Twilio CFO Aidan Viggiano put it plainly: the company “built [its] way here one decision at a time.” That sentence is the whole lesson we want to share.

Value Creation, Not Activity

The pandemic handed Twilio a demand spike, and the company built a cost base and an ambition to match it. When the spike faded, revenue cooled faster than at its subscription peers, leaving Twilio running a machine sized for a world that no longer existed. The instinct in that moment is activity: do more, launch more, chase every experiment to prove growth is still alive.

Twilio did the opposite. Leadership dropped the do-everything posture and accepted that it could no longer fund every bet.

This is the distinction we keep coming back to. Activity is motion. Value creation is the disciplined alignment of a business system: strategy, operations, capital, and execution pulling the same direction. Twilio cut roughly 40% of its workforce across 2022 and 2023, but it didn’t cut blindly. It protected the product roadmap and innovation capacity and aimed the reductions at G&A, sales and marketing, and corporate overhead. That’s not cost-cutting. That’s alignment.

The Segment Decision

The hard call wasn’t the headcount. It was Segment, the customer-data platform Twilio bought in 2021 that, by early 2024, was losing money and underperforming. Some investors were calling for it to be sold off, and selling would have been the easy, defensible, short-term answer. Instead, leadership made Segment profitable and wove its data layer into Twilio’s core platform, betting that data would be the thing that mattered once AI-driven customer engagement arrived.

They were right, and much of what Twilio now leads with traces back to that decision. This is where a value-creation lens earns its keep. The question was never whether Segment was good or bad. It was where does this asset create or erode enterprise value over the next cycle, and what happens to the whole system if we keep it versus cut it?

Discipline and Growth Aren’t Enemies

Here’s the part most turnaround stories miss. Profitability arrived fast, but growth stayed flat. The temptation at that fork is to either declare victory on discipline and coast, or to throw discipline out and chase growth at any cost.

Twilio refused the either/or scenario. The second phase was re-earning growth without backsliding: self-serve tools for developers, partnerships with software vendors, sharper use-case analytics, focused upsell and cross-sell. By the first quarter of 2026, gross-profit growth in dollar terms accelerated to 16% year over year, up from 10% the quarter before.

The cultural shift underneath it is where the real work began:

  • From growth at all costs to growth balanced with profitability and cash flow
  • From funding every experiment to funding the few that compound
  • From blunt cuts to surgical ones that protect the engine

None of that is a financial-engineering trick. It’s alignment, held over years.

Durable Value Creation Is a Win/Win

There is an important point here, and it’s the one that coincides with how we think about value at Redtail. Twilio’s moat now rests on assets that took more than a decade to build — thousands of carrier connections, deep regulatory expertise, fraud models trained on years of data. You don’t conjure that with a clever quarter. You earn it by serving customers well enough, long enough, that the system itself becomes hard to replicate.

That’s the version of value creation worth wanting: durable, compounding, and good for both sides of the table. If the only way a business wins is by extracting from customers or hollowing out its own capacity, it isn’t creating value, it’s borrowing against its own future. Twilio did the opposite. It spent three years putting the system back into alignment, and the durable value followed.

The Lesson for Operators

Twilio’s turnaround reads as an AI story because AI is currently the loudest thing in the room, but the company didn’t wake up positioned to win. It built its way there, one disciplined and aligned decision at a time. That’s the pattern worth studying. Instead of focusing on the tailwind, leadership kept doing the work that made the tailwind matter.

It’s also why the Enterprise Value Creation Roadmap exists at Redtail: to surface where value is created or eroded and model what happens to the system under each path, before the call gets made. Twilio’s team made those reads under pressure and got them right. A value-creation lens simply makes that kind of clarity repeatable.

Value creation isn’t luck and it isn’t timing. Even in 2026, it still isn’t AI. It’s discipline, alignment, and the patience to build your way there, one decision at a time.

 

 

Jay Goth

Jay Goth

A seasoned entrepreneur and executive with more than 40 years of experience launching and scaling companies across diverse industries. In recognition of his leadership and impact, Jay was honored by the U.S. Small Business Administration in 2016 as Small Business Champion of the Year. As the founder of Redtail Capital, Jay invests in and advises early stage companies that can make a positive impact on society. Jay is also the executive director of InSoCal CONNECT, a nonprofit focused on supporting entrepreneurship. Jay was a senior consultant for TriTech SBDC, a technology-focused Small Business Development Center for seven years. Throughout his career, he has served as a board director, C-level executive, and strategic advisor to both for-profit and nonprofit organizations, including service on the California Governor’s Entrepreneurship Task Force. His background also includes managing a biotech investment fund and working as a licensed investment banker. Over the years, Jay has built deep, trusted relationships across the business and innovation value chain. These relationships—spanning science, capital, operations, and commercialization—form the foundation of Redtail Capital’s ability to connect startups with the resources, expertise, and opportunities needed to grow.